The battle for the Euro 2024 Top Scorers Golden Boot is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in tournament history. With Kylian Mbappé leading France’s charge, Harry Kane aiming to defend his World Cup scoring form, and Erling Haaland looking to dominate for Norway, this could be a record-breaking tournament for goals.
In this ultimate Euro 2024 top scorers guide, we analyze:
✔ Top 10 favorites to win the Golden Boot (odds, form, and fixtures)
✔ Dark horse candidates who could surprise everyone
✔ Euro 2024 scoring records & history
✔ How group stage draws affect goal potential
✔ Best betting tips for top scorer markets
Whether you’re a Fantasy Football manager, a betting enthusiast, or just a football fan, this breakdown will help you predict who will finish as Euro 2024’s deadliest striker.
Euro 2024 Top Scorer Favorites: Odds & Analysis
1. Kylian Mbappé (France) – 4.50 Odds
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Why He Could Win It:
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France have a favorable group (Netherlands, Austria, Poland)
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On penalty duties + playing as central striker
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Coming off a 50-goal season with PSG
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Potential Roadblocks:
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France may spread goals across Griezmann, Thuram
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2. Harry Kane (England) – 5.00 Odds
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Why He Could Win It:
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England’s easiest group (Denmark, Serbia, Slovenia)
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Guaranteed starter + penalty taker
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44 goals for Bayern this season
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Potential Roadblocks:
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England’s history of tournament scoring droughts
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3. Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) – 8.00 Odds
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Why He Could Win It:
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Weak group (Turkey, Czechia, Georgia)
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Still scoring freely in Saudi Pro League
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Penalties + free kicks boost his tally
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Potential Roadblocks:
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Age (39) – may not play every minute
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Golden Boot Odds Source: Bet365 Euro 2024 Top Scorer
Dark Horse Candidates Who Could Steal the Golden Boot
1. Romelu Lukaku (Belgium) – 12.00 Odds
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Why?
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Belgium’s group (Slovakia, Romania, Ukraine) is weak defensively
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Scored 14 in Euro qualifying (record)
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2. Álvaro Morata (Spain) – 15.00 Odds
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Why?
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Spain creates tons of chances
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Often overlooked but consistent in tournaments
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3. Rasmus Højlund (Denmark) – 20.00 Odds
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Why?
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Explosive form for Man United
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Denmark plays attacking football
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Euro Top Scorer History: Trends That Matter
Looking at past tournaments reveals key patterns:
| Year | Winner | Goals | Key Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Cristiano Ronaldo | 5 | Shared award (tiebreaker: assists) |
| 2016 | Antoine Griezmann | 6 | Deep run = more games |
| 2012 | Fernando Torres | 3 | Fewer games hurt totals |
Key Lesson: Players from teams that reach the final usually have the best shot.
Historical Stats Source: UEFA Euro Archives
How Group Stage Affects Golden Boot Chances
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Easy Groups = More Goals (e.g., Portugal vs Georgia)
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Hard Groups = Fewer Chances (e.g., Spain vs Italy)
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Penalty Duties = Huge Advantage (Kane, Mbappé, Ronaldo all take them)
For daily Euro 2024 updates, visit SoccerNewsZ.com.
Best Betting Tips for Euro 2024 Top Scorer
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Back a Penalty Taker (Kane, Mbappé, Ronaldo)
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Look for Weak Group Opponents (Lukaku vs Ukraine)
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Wait Until After Group Stage (Injuries/suspensions change odds)
Best Value Bets:
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Lukaku @ 12.00 (Belgium’s easy group)
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Morata @ 15.00 (Spain’s creative midfield)
Final Prediction: Who Wins the Golden Boot?
Kylian Mbappé – France’s easy group + his explosive speed
Harry Kane – England’s best-ever attack
Romelu Lukaku – Dark horse with easiest path
Who’s your pick? Let us know in the comments! ⚽
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